NBA Finals · 2025-26
5 games · New York Knicks advanced
Every game
Game 1Jun 3
NY 105@
SA 9519·29·28·29 / 27·28·21·1943%Game 2Jun 5NY 105@SA 10425·31·28·21 / 34·18·23·2943%Game 3Jun 8SA 115@NY 11133·24·35·23 / 22·42·27·2031%Game 4Jun 10SA 106@NY 10741·35·14·16 / 22·27·26·3267%Game 5Jun 13NY 94@SA 9013·24·28·29 / 23·19·30·1841%
NY 105@SA 9519·29·28·29 / 27·28·21·1943%Game 2Jun 5NY 105@SA 10425·31·28·21 / 34·18·23·2943%Game 3Jun 8SA 115@NY 11133·24·35·23 / 22·42·27·2031%Game 4Jun 10SA 106@NY 10741·35·14·16 / 22·27·26·3267%Game 5Jun 13NY 94@SA 9013·24·28·29 / 23·19·30·1841%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
1 of 5
Mean probability on the winner
45.0%
Brier over the series
0.3168
A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.