First Round · 2025-26
7 games · Detroit Pistons advanced
Every game
Game 1Apr 19
ORL 112@
DET 10135·20·26·31 / 27·24·23·2721%Game 2Apr 22ORL 83@DET 9821·25·16·21 / 25·21·38·1473%Game 3Apr 25DET 105@ORL 11326·28·25·26 / 26·35·26·2649%Game 4Apr 27DET 88@ORL 9427·25·17·19 / 26·28·21·1951%Game 5Apr 29ORL 109@DET 11626·34·19·30 / 38·28·23·2768%Game 6May 1DET 93@ORL 7926·12·24·31 / 25·35·11·847%Game 7May 3ORL 94@DET 11622·27·15·30 / 20·40·23·3373%
ORL 112@DET 10135·20·26·31 / 27·24·23·2721%Game 2Apr 22ORL 83@DET 9821·25·16·21 / 25·21·38·1473%Game 3Apr 25DET 105@ORL 11326·28·25·26 / 26·35·26·2649%Game 4Apr 27DET 88@ORL 9427·25·17·19 / 26·28·21·1951%Game 5Apr 29ORL 109@DET 11626·34·19·30 / 38·28·23·2768%Game 6May 1DET 93@ORL 7926·12·24·31 / 25·35·11·847%Game 7May 3ORL 94@DET 11622·27·15·30 / 20·40·23·3373%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
54.7%
Brier over the series
0.2354
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.