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Hardwood
2025-26 season

First Round · 2025-26

New York Knicks
New York Knicks

4

final
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks

2

6 games · New York Knicks advanced

Every game

Game 1Apr 18Atlanta HawksATL 102@New York KnicksNY 11324·31·19·28 / 30·27·26·3066%Game 2Apr 20Atlanta HawksATL 107@New York KnicksNY 10623·31·25·28 / 32·29·30·1532%Game 3Apr 23New York KnicksNY 108@Atlanta HawksATL 10921·29·30·28 / 33·25·30·2155%Game 4Apr 25New York KnicksNY 114@Atlanta HawksATL 9827·31·28·28 / 20·24·21·3344%Game 5Apr 28Atlanta HawksATL 97@New York KnicksNY 12622·26·24·25 / 35·29·26·3671%Game 6Apr 30New York KnicksNY 140@Atlanta HawksATL 8940·43·34·23 / 15·21·28·2554%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

53.7%

Brier over the series

0.2309

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works