First Round · 2025-26
7 games · Philadelphia 76ers advanced
Every game
Game 1Apr 19
PHI 91@
BOS 12318·28·25·20 / 33·31·31·2881%Game 2Apr 21PHI 111@BOS 9725·37·22·27 / 28·26·23·2018%Game 3Apr 24BOS 108@PHI 10029·25·25·29 / 24·23·27·2657%Game 4Apr 26BOS 128@PHI 9634·22·39·33 / 18·20·36·2259%Game 5Apr 28PHI 113@BOS 9721·29·35·28 / 23·34·29·1118%Game 6Apr 30BOS 93@PHI 10623·26·14·30 / 20·38·24·2444%Game 7May 2PHI 109@BOS 10032·23·33·21 / 19·31·25·2527%
PHI 91@BOS 12318·28·25·20 / 33·31·31·2881%Game 2Apr 21PHI 111@BOS 9725·37·22·27 / 28·26·23·2018%Game 3Apr 24BOS 108@PHI 10029·25·25·29 / 24·23·27·2657%Game 4Apr 26BOS 128@PHI 9634·22·39·33 / 18·20·36·2259%Game 5Apr 28PHI 113@BOS 9721·29·35·28 / 23·34·29·1118%Game 6Apr 30BOS 93@PHI 10623·26·14·30 / 20·38·24·2444%Game 7May 2PHI 109@BOS 10032·23·33·21 / 19·31·25·2527%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
3 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
43.4%
Brier over the series
0.3684
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.