Conference Semifinals · 2025-26
7 games · Cleveland Cavaliers advanced
Every game
Game 1May 5
CLE 101@
DET 11121·25·30·25 / 37·22·24·2872%Game 2May 7CLE 97@DET 10718·25·32·22 / 25·29·25·2873%Game 3May 9DET 109@CLE 11630·18·33·28 / 32·32·19·3349%Game 4May 11DET 103@CLE 11224·32·21·26 / 21·31·38·2252%Game 5May 13CLE 117@DET 113OT27·25·32·19 / 29·31·20·2331%Game 6May 15DET 115@CLE 9427·27·30·31 / 25·26·19·2443%Game 7May 17CLE 125@DET 9431·33·35·26 / 22·25·26·2128%
CLE 101@DET 11121·25·30·25 / 37·22·24·2872%Game 2May 7CLE 97@DET 10718·25·32·22 / 25·29·25·2873%Game 3May 9DET 109@CLE 11630·18·33·28 / 32·32·19·3349%Game 4May 11DET 103@CLE 11224·32·21·26 / 21·31·38·2252%Game 5May 13CLE 117@DET 113OT27·25·32·19 / 29·31·20·2331%Game 6May 15DET 115@CLE 9427·27·30·31 / 25·26·19·2443%Game 7May 17CLE 125@DET 9431·33·35·26 / 22·25·26·2128%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
3 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
49.7%
Brier over the series
0.2795
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.