Skip to main content
Hardwood
2013-14 season

Conference Semifinals · 2013-14

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder

4

final
LA Clippers
LA Clippers

2

6 games · Oklahoma City Thunder advanced

Every game

Game 1May 5LA ClippersLAC 122@Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 10539·30·35·18 / 25·27·26·2738%Game 2May 7LA ClippersLAC 101@Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 11228·28·21·24 / 37·24·33·1858%Game 3May 9Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 118@LA ClippersLAC 11229·32·25·32 / 33·30·27·2231%Game 4May 11Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 99@LA ClippersLAC 10132·25·18·24 / 15·31·17·3867%Game 5May 13LA ClippersLAC 104@Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 10534·24·28·18 / 25·27·28·2563%Game 6May 15Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 104@LA ClippersLAC 9816·26·30·32 / 30·20·22·2634%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

3 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

48.4%

Brier over the series

0.2873

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works