Conference Semifinals · 2025-26
4 games · Oklahoma City Thunder advanced
Every game
Game 1May 5
LAL 90@
OKC 10826·27·19·18 / 31·30·23·2477%Game 2May 7LAL 107@OKC 12523·35·22·27 / 27·30·36·3277%Game 3May 9OKC 131@LAL 10831·26·33·41 / 25·34·20·2955%Game 4May 11OKC 115@LAL 11021·28·31·35 / 26·19·39·2659%
LAL 90@OKC 10826·27·19·18 / 31·30·23·2477%Game 2May 7LAL 107@OKC 12523·35·22·27 / 27·30·36·3277%Game 3May 9OKC 131@LAL 10831·26·33·41 / 25·34·20·2955%Game 4May 11OKC 115@LAL 11021·28·31·35 / 26·19·39·2659%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 4
Mean probability on the winner
67.2%
Brier over the series
0.1176
A backtest, and a sample of 4. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.