OKC v PHX · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2025-26

Oklahoma City Thunder

4

final

0

4 games · Oklahoma City Thunder advanced

Every game

OKC 11920·24·22·18 / 35·30·32·2281%Game 2Apr 22

OKC 12029·28·20·30 / 30·35·35·2081%Game 3Apr 25

PHX 10933·29·25·34 / 28·25·26·3063%Game 4Apr 27

PHX 12237·38·31·25 / 33·34·31·2465%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 4

Mean probability on the winner

72.4%

Brier over the series

0.0835

A backtest, and a sample of 4. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.