Conference Finals · 2025-26
7 games · San Antonio Spurs advanced
Every game
Game 1May 18
SA 122@
OKC 1152OT27·24·29·21 / 27·17·29·2837%Game 2May 20SA 113@OKC 12231·20·37·25 / 31·31·34·2658%Game 3May 22OKC 123@SA 10826·32·37·28 / 31·20·33·2436%Game 4May 24OKC 82@SA 10319·19·22·22 / 28·22·28·2560%Game 5May 26SA 114@OKC 12727·31·33·23 / 29·40·32·2661%Game 6May 28OKC 91@SA 11822·31·13·25 / 35·25·32·2662%Game 7May 30SA 111@OKC 10332·24·24·31 / 25·28·24·2641%
SA 122@OKC 1152OT27·24·29·21 / 27·17·29·2837%Game 2May 20SA 113@OKC 12231·20·37·25 / 31·31·34·2658%Game 3May 22OKC 123@SA 10826·32·37·28 / 31·20·33·2436%Game 4May 24OKC 82@SA 10319·19·22·22 / 28·22·28·2560%Game 5May 26SA 114@OKC 12727·31·33·23 / 29·40·32·2661%Game 6May 28OKC 91@SA 11822·31·13·25 / 35·25·32·2662%Game 7May 30SA 111@OKC 10332·24·24·31 / 25·28·24·2641%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
50.8%
Brier over the series
0.2543
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.